Citic Jiantou: We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025, focusing on the opportunities of new increase and industry integration. Citic Jiantou Securities reported on December 11th that looking forward to 2025, the reform policy in the pharmaceutical field has been normalized, and the most noteworthy incremental policy in the medical insurance field is to establish a diversified payment system. The medical field is about to usher in the reform of "deep water areas" such as salary system and graded diagnosis and treatment, which is in line with expectations on the whole. At the same time, the innovation of China's pharmaceutical industry has gradually stepped onto the international stage, some sub-sectors will be marginally improved, and industry integration will begin. We are optimistic about the investment opportunities in the pharmaceutical industry in 2025. It is suggested to focus on the new increase (innovation, going out to sea, marginal change) and industry integration opportunities.South Korean President Yin Xiyue appeared in the office on Thursday for the first time in five days.CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.
CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese stocks in the week of December 6 was 482.3 billion yen, with the previous value of-607.7 billion yen. Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese bonds in the week of December 6 was 1,006.4 billion yen, with the previous value of 176.1 billion yen. Japan bought a net foreign bond of-640.8 billion yen in the week of December 6, with the previous value of 922.4 billion yen. In the week of December 6th, Japan bought foreign stocks net-954.8 billion yen, with the previous value of-544.7 billion yen.In the first 11 months of the North Stock Exchange, the issuance scale of new shares decreased by nearly 770% year-on-year, and the new shares rose by over 100% on the first day. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, there were 20 new shares listed on the North Stock Exchange, and the total amount of funds raised was about 4.175 billion yuan, down by nearly 70% year-on-year. The scale of new shares is generally small, and the number of new shares raised less than 200 million yuan accounts for 65% of the total number of new shares. The share price of 70% new shares rose over 100% on the first day of listing. Among them, the share price of Tongguan Mining Construction rose by 731.41% on the first day of listing, and the share prices of Shengye Electric, Keli and Wanyuantong rose by over 300% on the first day. In terms of underwriters, in the first November of 2024, the number of projects underwritten by CITIC Jiantou Securities was the highest, with a total project scale of about 699 million yuan, followed by First Venture Securities and Minsheng Securities. (Xinhua Finance)
A special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic of Russia, was attacked by drones. Russian military media said that a special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic, was attacked by Ukrainian drones in the early hours of the 12 th. Up to now, the Ukrainian side has not responded.CITIC Securities: There is no need to be overly pessimistic about the export of home appliances catalyzed by state subsidies. CITIC Securities Research Report said that domestically, the sales data of white electricity and black electricity continued to improve under the support of state subsidies. Externally, the overall export exposure of home appliance enterprises to the United States is relatively limited, so there is no need to be overly pessimistic. Looking forward to the future, the domestic demand stimulus policy is expected to be further overweight, and it is suggested to focus on white power enterprises that benefit from state subsidies; Optional sectors where domestic demand is expected to reverse (small household appliances, projection).Russia says it controls two settlements in Kursk, and the Ukrainian army says it will continue to hold its ground. On the 11th, local time, the Russian Defense Ministry reported that in the past day, Russian troops had taken control of Darinot and Plekhovo settlements in Kursk region. The circular also stated that the Ukrainian armed forces used six US-made Army tactical missiles on the same day to launch an attack on a military airport in Rostov, southern Russia. The falling of missile fragments caused personal injury, but no other serious losses were caused. Russia will respond to this attack. On the same day, the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces issued a battle report, saying that there were 140 battles in the frontline area that day, and the Ukrainian army continued to hold its ground and fully blocked the Russian army. Among them, the fighting in Pokrovsk and Kulahovo is the fiercest, and fighting continues in some areas. In addition, Sumeizhou and Chernigov continue to be attacked by Russian air. In the Kursk region, the Ukrainian army repelled 15 Russian attacks.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14